Iran in the Caucasus: A Long Haul

Iran in the Caucasus: A Long Haul

It will take Iran a long time to make up the ground it has lost in the South Caucasus since the end of the Soviet Union.
Dusting Off Old Roses in Tbilisi

Dusting Off Old Roses in Tbilisi

  • Michael Cecire
The two political groups’ no-holds-barred partisan wars in Georgia may be emotionally satisfying for the principals, but it is also creating the political space for the return of conservative, Moscow-leaning parties and organizations to thrive.
Crimea as Part of Russia: First Conclusions

Crimea as Part of Russia: First Conclusions

Russia’s problems with Crimea and Crimea’s problems with Russia will only continue to grow.
Why Did It Take Russia So Long to Join the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank?

Why Did It Take Russia So Long to Join the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank?

The story with the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, which ended to the benefit of Russian national interests, nevertheless exposes the weakness of the Russian decisionmaking process in relation to the Asia-Pacific.
Uzbek Elections Preordained, the Real Questions Come Later

Uzbek Elections Preordained, the Real Questions Come Later

The real question looming over Uzbekistan's upcoming election is not who wins, but what will happen to the country after President Islam Karimov eventually leaves power.
Why the St. Petersburg Summit of the Kremlin’s Friends Failed

Why the St. Petersburg Summit of the Kremlin’s Friends Failed

Putin and his policy attract sympathizers in Europe from both far left and far right. However, Russian ideologists have such a poor idea of who supports them overseas that they failed to assemble and present a convincing contingent of supporters, only embarrassing themselves in the end.
Lee Kuan Yew and Russia: Role Model for Hire?

Lee Kuan Yew and Russia: Role Model for Hire?

The post-Soviet elites use the system that Lee Kuan Yew constructed in Singapore to justify political crackdown. However, Lee himself believed that resource-based dictatorships will fail to replicate Singapore’s success, since restricting freedoms is not the cornerstone of his model.
Ukraine: The Kingdom of the Oligarchs

Ukraine: The Kingdom of the Oligarchs

Prospects for Ukraine’s long-term success and cohesion will be determined by its ability to pursue far-reaching reforms to modernize the state and to check the power of the oligarchs.
A Chechen Dragon Splits Moscow

A Chechen Dragon Splits Moscow

The Chechen connection to the Nemtsov’s murder has split the ruling elite. Putin’s problem is that Kadyrov has completely cleared Chechnya of all rivals, either Chechen or Russian—having fed and groomed his “dragon,” he has no Plan B in Chechnya.
Long Live Minsk II?

Long Live Minsk II?

The Minsk agreements are fragile.How effectively they are implemented will depend primarily on the Europeans’ ability to convince Moscow to pressure separatists into observing the ceasefire, and on Kyiv’s ability to keep nationalist militias in line. If either side fails to do so, the fighting is likely to resume.
Imitating Chavez: A Year of Nationalization in Crimea

Imitating Chavez: A Year of Nationalization in Crimea

Although it began with state-owned assets, the nationalization project in Crimea quickly consumed Ukrainian and Russian private property. One year on, every significant Crimean enterprise is in the hands of local authorities, and there is little hope for privatization.
Life After Caesar: What Happens When the Leader Doesn’t Return

Life After Caesar: What Happens When the Leader Doesn’t Return

What happens to an authoritarian country that’s left without its leader and the founder of the regime?
Will the Chechen Connection Lead to Ramzan Kadyrov?

Will the Chechen Connection Lead to Ramzan Kadyrov?

Putin and Kadyrov resemble Siamese twins, whose separation will result in complication for both of them, and thus for the country at large. Neither one of them stood to benefit from Boris Nemtsov’s death.
Who Benefits From Ending Russian-Ukrainian Cooperation in the Space and Defense Sectors?

Who Benefits From Ending Russian-Ukrainian Cooperation in the Space and Defense Sectors?

The Russian government’s decision to end cooperation with Ukraine on two space launch programs is likely due to political motivations alone and goes against the economic and technological interests of Russia, Ukraine, and many other countries. This decision is worth reconsidering.
Nemtsov’s Murder: The Islamic Connection

Nemtsov’s Murder: The Islamic Connection

The perpetrators of violence have staked their claim to power, or at least a more active role in formulating the regime’s identity and methods. If we are to assume that the president is not directly linked to Nemtsov’s murder, it seems that someone else wants to push Putin in a more decisive and punitive direction.
The Chechen Connection?

The Chechen Connection?

It is impossible to imagine Ramzan Kadyrov calling his subordinates and directly instructing them to commit the murder of Boris Nemtsov. However, the xenophobia and fear of the West characteristic of some segments of Russia’s Muslim community, including Muslims in the North Caucasus, creates a favorable climate for such acts.
Left Behind? Russia in the New Industrial Revolution

Left Behind? Russia in the New Industrial Revolution

If Russia does not develop and produce technological innovation, it will not be able to keep pace with the outside world.
Armenia, Turkey Clashing Over April 24

Armenia, Turkey Clashing Over April 24

The Turkish government’s decision to hold a ceremony to commemorate the Gallipoli battles on April 24, in competition with the Armenian commemorations in Yerevan, looks like a political mistake.
What’s Behind Lithuania’s Restored Compulsory Military Service?

What’s Behind Lithuania’s Restored Compulsory Military Service?

  • Luke Coffey
  • Konstantin Ranks
About seven years after abolishing compulsory military service and amidst the tense situation in Ukraine, Lithuania has restored conscription. Eurasia Outlook asked its experts to weigh in on the deeper meaning of this maneuver and what its consequences might be.
Doomsday in Ukraine? Think Again

Doomsday in Ukraine? Think Again

  • Alyona Getmanchuk
In the short term, Ukraine is on the verge of economic and, perhaps, political collapse. Yet in the longer term, the real question is whether the emergence of a coherent Ukrainian national identity creates a solid consensus for reform of the state and a sustained Western trajectory.
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