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Nikolay Petrov
Scholar-in-Residence
  Society and Regions
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Petrov has worked at the Carnegie Moscow Center since 1996 first as a Senior Consultant and then as a Program Chair. Petrov served as chief organizer of the Analysis and Forecast Division in the Supreme Soviet (1991-1992), advisor and analyst for the Russian Presidential Administration (1994-1995), and a scholar at the Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies (1993-1994) and the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (1994). He later lectured at Macalester College in the United States. Petrov earned his Ph.D. from Moscow State University. Petrov is also a head of the Center for Political-Geographical Studies and for many years served as a senior research associate with the Institute of Geography at the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Memberships:
International Geographical Union
Program on New Approaches to Russian and Eurasian Security
Member of the Editorial Board of The Journal of Power Institutions in Post-Soviet Societies
Head of the Center for Political-Geographic Research

Publications:
Authored/co-authored 12 books, and edited/co-edited 9 books. Author of a regular column in Russia’s leading English-language newspaper, The Moscow Times.



 News and Events 
News
  08.02.2010  
The Second Round of Presidential Elections in Ukraine
The apparent triumph of Viktor Yanukovich in the second round of Ukrainian presidential elections held February 7 should not be interpreted as the end of that country’s democratic experiment, argues Carnegie Moscow Center expert Nikolay Petrov ...

News
  05.02.2010  
Russia’s Future: Nation or Civilization?
Russia’s current ruling elite understands the threat posed by an ethnic project of nation-building and, therefore, seeks to adhere to a supranational concept of Russia as a civilization, argues political scientist Igor Zevelyov ...

News
  19.01.2010  
Alexander Khloponin Named “Chief of the Caucasus”
On January 19, 2010, Dmitry Medvedev announced the creation of the new North Caucasus Federal District and appointed Krasnoyarsk governor Alexander Khloponin to be his envoy there ...

News
  18.01.2010  
Ukraine’s Election – A Triumph of Non-Managed Democracy
Carnegie Moscow Center expert Nikolay Petrov commented on the first round of Ukraine’s presidential election that took place on January 17, 2010. “The first round of the Ukrainian presidential election brought no particular surprises ...

News
  17.12.2009  
Book Presentation: “Elections to Russia’s Regional Parliaments. 2003-2009: The First Cycle of the Implementation of a Proportional Representation System”
Since 2003, when changes to federal law switched elections of Russia’s regional parliaments to a system of proportional representation, 110 regional election campaigns with party lists have been conducted in Russia ...

News
  04.12.2009  
Vladimir Putin's Live Talk with the People
Carnegie Moscow Center expert Nikolay Petrov comments: “Vladimir Putin’s eighth ‘direct line’ conference on December 3, 2009, set a new record for length and the number of questions answered ...

News
  23.11.2009  
Russia and the EU: Beyond Misunderstandings
Were the last 20 years lost for partnership between the EU and Russia? How do views differ in Moscow and Brussels? Where do the two sides’ interests intersect? These and other questions were addressed by Michel Foucher, professor at the Ecole Normale Superieure (ENS) in Paris, member of the Council of Foreign Affairs, former director of the Analysis and Forecasting Centre of the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and former French ambassador to Latvia, during a seminar at the Carnegie Moscow Center on November 23, 2009, as part of the series of Diplomatic Evenings dedicated to the Center’s 15th anniversary ...

News
  05.11.2009  
Regions of Russia in Crisis Conditions
How crisis in Russian regions has been developing in economic, financial, social, political aspects? What are the connections between social, political, and economic dimensions of the crisis in Russia? Where are crisis risks most significant? These issues were discussed at the seminar “Regions of Russia in Crisis Conditions” at the Carnegie Moscow Center on November 5, 2009, as part of the “Crisis in Russia: Regional Dimension” monitoring project ...

News
  14.10.2009  
The Consequences of Local Elections in Russia: Commentary from Carnegie Experts
The regional and local elections held on October 11, 2009, handed large majorities to United Russia, the ruling, Kremlin-backed political party. Nikolay Petrov, chair of the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Society and Regions program, comments: “The decision on October 14 by the three minority parties in the national parliament – the Communist Party, A Just Russia Party, and LDPR – to boycott State Duma sessions until a fair investigation [into the elections] is carried out could be said to have been provoked by the Kremlin itself ...

News
  01.10.2009  
Overmanaged Democracy in Russia: The Ruling Tandem and the Economic Crisis
On September 30, 2009, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace hosted a discussion titled “Overmanaged Democracy in Russia: The Ruling Tandem and the Economic Crisis ...

 Publications 
 Working Papers 

  Henry Hale, Nikolay Petrov, Maria Lipman
Overmanaged Democracy in Russia: Governance Implications of Hybrid Regimes
Can autocratic governments that incorporate elements of democracy provide good governance? The authors approach this question with an inductive study of Russia, which is widely regarded as a leading hybrid regime and an innovator in the field. They argue that for most of the past decade, and especially during Vladimir Putin’s second term as president, Russia has been characterized by a hybrid regime that strongly resembles those in many other Eurasian states, as well as Venezuela and Iran. This type of regime combines a high degree of state centralization with the gutting of democratic institutions, and their systematic replacement with substitutions that are intended to serve some of their positive functions without challenging the incumbent leaders’ hold on power. The label chosen for this system, overmanaged democracy, reflects three central findings. First, this system has enabled Russia’s leaders to govern more by a non-participation pact with society than by outright repression – though some very repressive elements play a role. Second, the more centralized this system becomes, the more likely political outcomes are to diverge from social ideals, and the more vulnerable the regime becomes to shocks. The survival of the regime depends heavily on the personal reputation and skill of the top leaders, who must increasingly exercise manual control over the system. And third, political outcomes in a hybrid regime are closer to social ideals and the system is less vulnerable than would be the case in a regime that relies primarily on outright repression – allowing no political opposition to exist and creating no substitutions to serve any of the functions of democratic institutions. But the authors conclude that while overmanaged democracy may be stable in the short term, it will not last in the long term. In Russia’s case, the system is unlikely to survive Putin himself.

  Nikolay Petrov, Alexander Auzan
Civil Society: Economic and Political Approaches (in Russian)
This paper presents various issues related to civil society in Russia, as well as different ways to evaluate and measure that society. Alexander Auzan’s work includes looking at civil society through the lens of neo-institutional economics, and a discussion on this theme was organized by Carnegie Moscow Center's program on Civil Society. Participants debated the validity of Auzan's "economic" position, as opposed to a more "political" approach. The main question centered on the relationship between civil society and political power, namely whether or not civil society is able to play a feedback role and to affect the political decision-making processes.

 Briefing Papers 

 Vol.12, issue 1, February 2010

 Volume 8, Issue 3, April, 2006

 Volume 7, Issue 09, October, 2005

 Articles and interviews 

| 09.02.2010 |The Kremlin Overslept Kaliningrad
Nikolay Petrov
The Moscow Times
| 26.01.2010 |Glasnost Without Perestroika
Nikolay Petrov
The Moscow Times
| 22.01.2010 |Mr. Khloponin Goes to the Caucasus
Nikolay Petrov
The Moscow Times
| 14.01.2010 |Gubernatorial Roulette
Nikolay Petrov
The Moscow Times
| 22.12.2009 |A One-Man Vote
Nikolay Petrov
The Moscow Times
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   31/12/2009)
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